Posts Tagged Foreign Exchange

A Reality Warning about Automated Forex Trading Systems

We love automated Forex trading systems, but as professional currency traders at ForexTradingSuccess we believe that it is important to outline a few truths about them, which we feel are sorely lacking on the internet these days.

As you are reading this, you will no doubt have come across hundreds if not thousands of other web sites or blogs, which promote Forex robots or automated trading systems. There is so much hype associated with some of these Forex systems these days that you could almost choke on it. Most of these web sites are amateur sites that seem to focus on a just few automated systems like FAP Turbo and Forex MegaDroid, that tell you why these automated trading systems are not scams, and only go on to highlight the good points without drawing attention to some of the less positive issues about automated Forex trading systems in general.

We also find that the official web pages of most new automated Forex systems show fantastic financial returns and claim or insinuate that all you have to do to make similar profits is plug in the expert advisor into your MetaTrader platform and then let the cash roll in. We feel it is not only dangerous to make or insinuate these claims, but also morally and factually wrong.

What is reality?

The reality is that you will not make a fortune over night trading Forex, whether from using a Forex trading robot or automated system, or even from using a manual trading system. If you are using a good automated Forex trading system you can expect to make between 5-20% return on capital per month. Even then, don’t expect every month to be a winner! This is the reality of trading Forex. Furthermore, it should also be pointed out that many of the automated forex trading systems currently available on the market actually result in traders losing a great deal of money.

The second reality is that those one-page sales-letter-type web sites that show or insinuate $3,000, $5,000 or $10,000 in regular profits from a single Forex trade fail to mention that you need substantial investment capital in the first place to achieve these returns. To make $5,000 on a single trade you would need to risk several thousand dollars on that trade (that you could also lose), and even then this should represent no more than 1-2% of your total capital base. The reality is that these large trade profits are only going to be achieved from trading with a capital base of tens of thousands of dollars! Again, this is far beyond what the average Forex trader can expect to make using an automated trading system.

Fortunately, it’s not all bad news about automated trading systems. Some of the more positive points about them are as follows.

Automated Forex trading systems offer people an excellent way to start making money from the Forex market, particularly those who do not have the knowledge or time to spend on learning the intricacies of Forex trading. They are ideal, therefore, for those people who have busy full time jobs and are looking for a way to make additional income.

The Forex market is a 24/5 business. So, even those traders who like to trade using a manual trading system can’t trade all day. Automated systems allow a trader to trade 24 hours a day every day of the week. A number of good Forex trades therefore can be captured using a robot whilst a trader is sleeping or doing something else. They also allow for multiple currency pairs to be traded in various time frames all at the same time.

Automated Forex systems remove human emotion from the trading equation. One of the biggest factors causing traders to lose money from manually trading Forex is their emotions, causing them to do things they should not do. Robots therefore stick to the rules of a trading system unlike most Forex traders.

An automated Forex trading system can be an excellent complement to a manual trading system. So, when a trader is making losses with a manual trading system, an automated Forex trading system could help offset those losses against trading gains, particularly if they are trading on different currency pairs.

In summary, automated Forex trading systems can be a great way for someone to indulge in the Forex market for the first time and/or to achieve a second stream of income. However, trading with automated systems is not a quick win game. It is not easy money, it is not a sure thing, and it is not a one way bet. Many robot developers and their marketing people want you to think otherwise. Furthermore, the promoters of automated Forex systems fail to mention that to make a lot of money trading Forex you are going to need a lot of money to invest in the first place. Forex is a difficult profession. It takes skill, capital and time and even then success is not guaranteed. So, be careful, don’t be gullible and don’t believe everything you read. Do take your time choosing your automated trading system and choose your system wisely.

Andrew Searle is a member of a team of professional currency traders based in London, England who have created http://www.forextradingsuccess.co.uk/ a comprehensive web site detailing the best forex trading systems, best forex brokers and best forex signal providers on the web. They also provide some excellent free forex training on their website for beginners at http://www.forextradingsuccess.co.uk/free-forex-training.html

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Forex is All About Time

Does it matter when I trade?
Traders spend a lot of time and money trying to figure out HOW to trade.They expend an enormous amount of their resources on systems,methodologies, techniques, and strategies that ultimately will give them only half of what they need. The secret the professionals don’t want you to know, however, is WHEN to trade. After all, they are on the winning side of every one of your losing trades.
Even though the Forex is open twenty-four hours a day, there are times when the market for a given currency pair is highly active, other times when it is moderately active, and times when there is no activity at all.
While you can make money whether the market is moving up or down, it’s extremely difficult to make a profit when the market is moving sideways.
And since the market for a particular currency may spend 60% to 75% of its time moving sideways, it is very important to know WHEN the trending activity is most likely to occur. It’s also easy to enter the market at the tail end of a trend and not know, except in hindsight, that the end was so near. After all, the indicators were telling you the trend was still going strong—so if you don’t know that this particular pair makes seven-bar moves, you go ahead and enter on the sixth bar of the trend. Two bars later, your trade is heading south in a hurry. It’s critical to know how many bars a trend is likely to last before there is a retracement or consolidation period, given the day of the week and the hour of the day the trend first began. Exiting too late is another common experience many traders share. At 6 AM, you place a contingent (IF THEN) order with your entry price and your stop loss, and head off to work. At noon, you check your trade and find out that by 11 AM the market had moved 90 pips in your favor. But in the last hour the price dropped 65 pips. The next time you’ll be able to check your trade is after work, so rather than tighten your stop loss to break-even in the hopes of a rally, you exit the trade at market for a 25-pip gain. That’s certainly better than nothing, but if you had known how many pips this currency pair was likely to move given the day of the week and hour of day the trend began, you could have set a target to exit with an 85-pip profit. Thus, if you know for a given currency pair the best days and hours to trade, the likely number of price bars the move will cover, and the number of pips this pair will most probably move, you would have to agree that you would possess some very powerful knowledge.
What does a typical 24-hour Forex trading day look like?Before we get into WHEN to trade, let’s take a closer look at a typical day in Forex time. This information is generally available on the Internet, but has been compiled here for your convenience.
Technically, the Forex operates on a global time scale, twenty-four hours a day, seven days a week, with no start or end time. Given that no one stays awake 24 hours a day and that very little trading takes place on theweekend (from Friday at 13:00 PM US EST to Sunday at 17:00 PM US EST), the Forex trading day naturally breaks itself down into three major trading sessions:
1. the Australasian session (New Zealand, Australia, and Tokyo)
2. the London session, and
3. the New York session.
It’s interesting that these sessions just happen to coincide with the opening and closing of their associated stock markets.The first thing you probably noticed is that from the New Zealand open to the New York close, the entire 24-hour day is covered. What’s more, you can see that the Australasian session has three stock markets open at the same time, with the last hour of the Australian and Tokyo sessions (3:00-4:00 AM US EST) coinciding with the opening hour of the London session.Furthermore, the London and New York markets share the hours between 8:00AM US EST and 13:00 US EST. In other words, from 19:00 US EST to 4:00 US EST and from 8:00 AM US EST to 13:00 PM US EST, two or more markets lap. In fact, the areas highlighted in yellow represent the Forex market’s busiest fourteen hours. This is because when two or more markets share the same hours, there are more traders to drive volume and volatility up.
What you have just seen is the general foundation for WHEN to trade.However, as important as this information is, you should know that each currency pair has its own unique set of “habits” that make up the key to its individual WHEN. And some of those habits run counter to the chart above. Without that specific knowledge, you’re still trading blindfolded.
This is probably a good place to share a story about Robert. He does pretty well in real estate, but wants to get into trading full-time. He’s busy with his current job, and even though he works his own schedule, he doesn’t have a regular time to sit in front of a computer for several hours. In spite of this, he has invested a good deal of cash in all kinds of trading systems. More than once, he has lost most of the money in his account, but he keeps coming back.At some point, he came across the information outlined in the sessions chart above. In his haste to make a success of himself as a trader, Robert took a one-size-fits-all approach as he applied this newfound knowledge to his trades. He followed a simple rule: if his system gave him a solid signal, as long as two or more markets were open at the same time, he would enter the trade. And guess what? A remarkable thing happened! He started hitting a few winning trades now and then, and he’s now able to stay at right around break-even. While this may be a great improvement, he is still far from his goal. He’s trading with a shotgun, armed with only a part of the knowledge he needs, and what he doesn’t know about WHEN is robbing him of his profits. If I’m trading the 4-hour bars, when are trends most likely to occur within the Forex trading day?
What you are about to read next will make a great difference in your trading. This is some of the information that the pros hope you never discover. for more detail and a free ebook on how to trade the forex send an email to info@siscocommunications.com

Charles Okaformbah,internet coach, netpreneur and forex trader,has written book on money making on the internet click learn forex visit

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